Ariba Shahid, Steve Holland and Alexander Cornwell
Islamabad/Washington/Tel Aviv: The United States and Iran are closing in on an agreement on a one-page memorandum to end the war in the Gulf, a source from mediator Pakistan and another source briefed on the mediation said.
In an early morning social media post, US President Donald Trump gave no details of any specific proposal but said the war could end if “Iran agrees to give what has been agreed to”.
The sources confirmed information initially reported by the US media outlet Axios. The proposed 14-point, one-page memorandum would formally end the war, followed by discussions to unblock shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, lift US sanctions on Iran and agree curbs on Iran’s nuclear programme.
“We will close this very soon. We are getting close,” said the source from Pakistan, which hosted the war’s only peace talks so far and has continued in that role of mediator, ferrying proposals between the sides.
Reports of the possible agreement caused global oil prices to plunge, with benchmark Brent crude futures falling around 11 per cent to around $US98 ($135) a barrel. Global share prices also leapt and bond yields fell on optimism of an end to a war that has disrupted energy supplies.
In his morning post, Trump said: “Assuming Iran agrees to give what has been agreed to, which is, perhaps, a big assumption, the already legendary Epic Fury will be at an end, and the highly effective Blockade will allow the Hormuz Strait to be OPEN TO ALL, including Iran.”
“If they don’t agree, the bombing starts, and it will be, sadly, at a much higher level and intensity than it was before,” Trump added.
Hours earlier, Trump paused a three-day-old naval mission to reopen the blockaded strait, citing progress in peace talks.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards responded by saying that if US “threats” had ended, passage through the strait would be possible under new terms it was putting in place, without giving details.
The White House, the State Department and Iranian officials contacted by Reuters did not immediately respond to requests for comment. US news channel CNBC quoted a spokesperson from the Iranian foreign ministry as saying Tehran was evaluating a 14-point US proposal.
The source briefed on the mediation said the US negotiations were being led by Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner.
If both sides agreed on the preliminary deal, that would start the clock on 30 days of detailed negotiations to reach a full agreement, the source said.
The source said the full agreement would include the US lifting sanctions and releasing frozen Iranian funds, Iran and the United States lifting competing blockades on the Strait of Hormuz, and curbs on Iran’s nuclear programme, with the aim of seeking a pause or moratorium on Iranian enrichment of uranium.
While the sources said the memorandum would not initially require concessions from either side, the sources and Axios did not mention several of the key demands that Washington has made in the past and that have previously been rejected by Iran.
US demands that were not mentioned include: curbs on Iran’s missile programme and an end to its support for proxy militias in the Middle East.
While the sources spoke of a moratorium on future Iranian enrichment of uranium, they did not mention Iran’s existing stockpile of more than 400 kilograms of uranium enriched to near weapons grade.
Washington has previously demanded Iran give this up before any end to the war. Iran has in the past insisted on its right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes and denied ever seeking to build an atomic bomb.
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