One Nation’s primary vote has surpassed Labor and the Coalition in Queensland, new poll analysis finds, as the populist party increasingly wins favour in key demographics and leads the Coalition in every state except Victoria.
The Newspoll quarterly analysis includes a breakdown of polling from January 12 to March 16.
The polls were taken during a three-month period that included the political aftermath of the Bondi terror attack, the ousting of former opposition leader Sussan Ley, an escalating cost-of-living crisis, back-to-back interest rate hikes, and fuel shortages triggered by Donald Trump’s war on Iran.
Monday’s analysis found the Pauline Hanson-led party held 30 per cent of primary vote in Sunshine State, followed by Labor at 27 per cent and the Liberal National Party at 23 per cent.
It trailed Labor to become the second-most popular party in every state except Victoria, where the Coalition held on by a thin 1 per cent margin.
The right-wing party’s popularity with voters aged 18 to 34 had also risen to 19 per cent from 8 per cent during the last quarterly analysis in December, while also becoming the third most popular party (19 per cent) for younger Australians behind Labor (30 per cent) and the Greens (26 per cent).
The polling found the populist party had also clinched a marginal win with female voters (26 per cent) as compared to male (25 per cent).
Christian voters were increasingly backing One Nation (31 per cent), followed by Labor (28 per cent) and the Coalition (24 per cent).
The support of Australians from diverse backgrounds, who spoke a language other than English at home, for One Nation was also up from 9 per cent to 19 per cent. While the new figures brought it level with the Coalition, both parties trailed Labor’s 35 per cent majority in this group.
Women were increasingly dissatisfied with Anthony Albanese’s performance as Prime Minister (55 per cent, up from 48 per cent) and support for Labor in this demographic had dropped five percentage points (30 per cent).
First-time Newspoll analysis also found 35 per cent of ex-Coalition supporters – who voted for the parties during the last federal election – had switched to One Nation.
